Crypto research / token supply

Crypto market cap vs FDV: read token valuation carefully

Market capitalisation and fully diluted valuation apply the current token price to different supply figures. They can help compare scale, but neither represents cash in a project or the amount required to move its price. The supply definitions, unlock schedule and liquidity matter as much as the headline number.

Crypto11 min readUpdated 2026-10-05By Umar Farooq
FIELD NOTEcrypto market cap vs fdv
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Quick answer

The short answer

Market cap multiplies price by circulating supply; fully diluted valuation uses the specified fully diluted supply basis. Neither measures cash invested, available liquidity or the price impact of future token issuance.

Educational diagram supporting Crypto market cap vs FDV: read token valuation carefully
Illustrative learning diagram · Created for CryptoStocks Academy
After this lesson
  • Calculate market cap and FDV from price and supply.
  • Explain why a large FDV gap can matter.
  • Add unlocks, liquidity and token rights to a research checklist.

Market cap uses circulating supply

Circulating market cap multiplies current price by the estimate of tokens available in the market. If a token trades at 2 and 100 million units circulate, the quoted market cap is 200 million. The circulating figure can depend on methodology, so compare the data provider’s definition with project disclosures.

Market cap is a valuation convention, not a bank balance. A relatively small trade can set the marginal price used across every circulating token.

Working modelMarket cap = token price × circulating supply

FDV applies price to a broader supply

Fully diluted valuation typically multiplies current price by maximum or fully diluted supply. A token with 100 million circulating and one billion maximum supply at 2 would show a 2 billion FDV. That gap signals that substantial future supply may exist, but timing and conditions determine its significance.

Some supply may unlock for teams, investors, rewards or ecosystem programmes. Emissions, burns and governance can change the path, so a single FDV figure is the start of research rather than the conclusion.

Working modelFDV ≈ token price × maximum or fully diluted supply

Combine valuation with liquidity and rights

Review the unlock calendar, holder concentration, treasury control, exchange liquidity, token utility and the legal or governance rights attached to ownership. A low nominal price does not mean a token is cheap when supply is very large.

Run several price-and-supply scenarios and write down what would change the thesis. Verify figures with project documentation and a reputable data provider because supply reporting can change.

  • Compare circulating, total and maximum supply.
  • Identify the next material unlocks.
  • Inspect concentration and usable liquidity.
  • Do not treat FDV as guaranteed future market cap.
In practice

Supply changes the comparison

At an illustrative $2 price and 10 million circulating units, market cap is $20 million. Applying the same price to a hypothetical 100 million maximum supply yields a $200 million fully diluted figure.

The larger number is not a forecast or a measure of cash available to the project. Review whether additional tokens can be issued, their unlock timing and what 'maximum supply' means in the source data.

Worked example

The valuation gap

At 1 per token, 50 million circulating tokens imply a 50 million market cap. If maximum supply is 500 million, FDV is 500 million. The tenfold gap does not predict price, but it makes future supply a central research question.

Continue this topic

Choose the next useful step

Quick review

Carry these four ideas forward.

  • Verify the supply definition.
  • Calculate market cap and FDV.
  • Read the unlock schedule.
  • Check liquidity and concentration.
Check your understanding

Three questions before the next tab.

Choose the answer that best matches the lesson. This is a memory check, not a market signal.

Not started
01Which item should never be shared with support?
02What does a blockchain provide?
03What is a sensible first research step?
Primary references

Continue with original sources.

These links provide definitions and current context. Product rules, regulation and network details can change, so verify time-sensitive information at the source.

Common questions

Before you move on

Does FDV predict future market cap?+

No. Future price, supply, demand, burns and project outcomes can all change.

Is a low market-cap token cheap?+

Not necessarily. Valuation, liquidity, quality, supply and risk must be assessed together.

Why do providers show different supply figures?+

They may use different methodologies or update schedules. Read their definitions and compare primary disclosures.